A Theoretical Comparison of Postpaid and Prepaid Customer Retention Techniques in India's Telecom Industry
dinesh.baghelkar@gmail.com ,
Abstract: The Indian telecom industry, among the largest and most dynamic in the world, is marked by intense competition, rapid digital transformation, and a consistently high customer churn rate. With over a billion active subscribers, telecom operators are increasingly focusing on effective customer retention strategies, especially within the prepaid and postpaid segments. This theoretical study offers a comparative analysis of customer retention techniques employed for prepaid and postpaid users in India. Based on existing literature, industry reports, and behavioral models, the paper examines key dimensions such as customer profiles, pricing sensitivity, usage patterns, loyalty programs, switching barriers, and customer engagement mechanisms. The analysis reveals that prepaid retention relies heavily on volume-driven strategies like discounts and gamification, while postpaid retention is anchored in personalized services, bundling, and long-term relationship management. The study provides actionable insights into how telecom providers can tailor their retention approaches to each customer segment, thereby enhancing customer satisfaction, loyalty, and profitability in a rapidly evolving digital landscape.
Keywords: Telecom Industry, Customer Retention, Prepaid Users, Postpaid Users, India, Telecom Segmentation
INTRODUCTION
India’s telecom sector has undergone remarkable expansion since economic liberalization in the 1990s, emerging as one of the world’s largest telecom markets. As of December 2024, the total number of telephone subscribers in India reached approximately 1.19 billion, of which 1.15 billion were wireless users. By March 2025, the count had modestly increased to 1.20 billion total subscribers, including 1.163 billion wireless subscribers.
The market is predominantly divided between prepaid and postpaid segments, with prepaid users comprising over 90% of the total subscriber base. Despite their smaller numbers, postpaid subscribers contribute significantly higher Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) As of June 2024, prepaid ARPU stood at ~₹154.8, while postpaid ARPU was ~₹189.2 per month; by March 2025, prepaid ARPU rose to ~₹173.8, while postpaid ARPU slightly declined to ~₹180.9.
With prepaid representing the volume-driven low-commitment segment, operators depend on mass promotions and low-cost plans to maintain engagement. Conversely, postpaid customers are seen as higher-value, higher-loyalty clients, due to factors like longer subscription terms, bundling, and premium service offerings.
However, despite its vast size, the sector continues to grapple with high churn rates, mainly driven by low switching barriers enabled by Mobile Number Portability (MNP), intense price wars, and rapidly evolving consumer expectations around digital convenience and service quality. The entry of Reliance Jio in 2016, with disruptive free voice and ultra-cheap data offerings, triggered a fierce industry price war forcing legacy players to drastically lower tariffs, which eroded margins and shifted the battleground from differentiation to survival.
Given this context, customer retention has emerged as a strategic imperative. While acquiring new users is costly, retaining existing ones particularly in the high-margin postpaid segment offers greater lifetime value and profitability.
The primary objective of this theoretical study is to compare and contrast the retention strategies employed for prepaid and postpaid customer segments in India, focusing on behavioral attributes, usage patterns, pricing and loyalty practices, and service mechanisms. By exploring how these strategies differ and where they overlap the paper aims to provide actionable insights for telecom operators seeking to optimize their retention models and align them with customer expectations and market realities.
LITERATURE REVIEW
Customer Retention in Telecom
Customer retention encompasses strategies aimed at keeping existing subscribers engaged, loyal, and profitable over time. In telecommunications, this not only involves minimizing churn but maximizing Customer Lifetime Value (CLV). Below are notable studies and empirical findings in this domain:
Profitability of Retention vs. Acquisition
- Reinartz (2003, 2005) provide foundational evidence that retaining customers yields greater long-term profitability than acquisition strategies. Their analyses show that sustained customer relationships reduce marketing and service costs over time, enhance cross-selling potential, and improve lifetime profitability
- Fleming & Asplund (2007) presents a research-based approach to improving business performance by optimizing the emotional connection between employees and customers. Based on data from 10 million employees and customers, the book emphasizes that emotional engagement is key to customer loyalty and employee effectiveness. The HumanSigma model treats employee and customer experiences as an integrated system, showing that companies aligning both achieve significantly better results. It offers practical strategies for measuring engagement and managing service interactions to drive long-term growth.
Role of Switching Costs
- Burnham, Frels & Mahajan (2003) classify switching costs into three categories: financial, procedural, and relational. All three raise retention likelihood, but relational switching costs (e.g., emotional attachment, trust) have the strongest influence on loyalty and repurchase behavior.
- Cossío-Silva et al. (2016) find a non-linear, inverted U-shaped interaction between satisfaction and satisfaction-loyalty link, moderated by switching costs. Beyond an optimal level, excessively high switching costs may reduce the satisfaction-loyalty effect.
- Aydin, Özer & Arasil (2005) empirically showed in the Turkish mobile market that trust and satisfaction indirectly influence loyalty but that switching costs significantly amplify retention, acting as a quasi-moderator in customer loyalty models.
- In India, Edward, George & Sarkar (2010) examined cellular subscribers and found that service quality, perceived value, satisfaction, and switching costs jointly impacted loyalty, with switching costs significantly moderating the satisfaction-loyalty relationship.
Technology-Driven Retention and Churn Prediction
- Ahmad et al. (2019) developed a churn prediction model for a telecom operator using machine learning and social network analysis, achieving 93.3% AUC (Area Under the Curve) accuracy. The addition of social network features increased predictive power from 84% to 93.3% demonstrating how deeply interconnected data can improve retention efforts.
- Phua et al. (2012) analyzed telecom transaction data and identified that variables like recent service usage and payment history are strong predictors for churn or re-engagement. Classifiers such as Random Forest and CART (Classification and Regression Trees) gave good accuracy for near-term churn prediction, enabling proactive retention tactics.
- A more recent study (2024) by Shaikhsurab & Magadum improved churn prediction performance through ensemble methods combining LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory), XGBoost (Extreme Gradient Boosting), LightGBM (Light Gradient Boosting Machine), and SVM (Support Vector Machine), achieving 99.28% accuracy. This shows how advanced analytics can support more aggressive retention across segments.
Value, Trust & Relationships in Telecom
- A large-scale Finnish study (2012) found that perceived value positively influences loyalty, with trust mediating this relationship. However, longer relationship tenure or higher usage did not necessarily strengthen loyalty highlighting that telecom customers may remain dissatisfied yet stay due to high switching costs.
- Gremler & Brown’s early service loyalty research (1996) emphasized the impact of relational bonds even “commercial friendship” with service staff in acting as a powerful loyalty driver and switching barrier in service industries such as telecoms.
Implications for Indian Telecom Context
- Retaining high ARPU postpaid customers via relational switching costs and trust-building offers better ROI than scaling transactional prepaid retention.
- Prepaid retention efforts must offset low barriers to churn by increasing procedural and relational switching costs through enhanced service channels, digital engagement, and reward-based loyalty.
- The integration of churn-predictive analytics is now mission-critical to trigger timely retention interventions tailored to user behavior across both prepaid and postpaid segments.
Prepaid vs Postpaid Customer Behavior
Prepaid Customers
- Flexibility and Cost Control: Prepaid users in India show a strong preference for flexible, pay-as-you-go models that allow budget control without long-term commitment. These plans are especially favored in price-sensitive segments and rural markets, where unpredictable usage patterns prevail.
- High Churn, Low Switching Barriers: TRAI data consistently shows that over 90% of subscribers are prepaid, and churn rates within this group remain high, largely due to Mobile Number Portability (MNP) enabling effortless switching between operators. A study by Rajeswari & Ravilochanan (2014) confirms that prepaid churn is significantly elevated despite aggressive retention campaigns, highlighting the transactional nature of this segment.
- Driving Selection Factors: A study surveying over 1,100 prepaid users across Tamil Nadu found that call/data rates, network coverage, accessibility, and responsiveness significantly influenced provider selection. Prepaid users favoured clear pricing, minimal commitment, and immediate value
Postpaid Customers
- Higher ARPU and Reduced Churn: According to a PwC–IIMA survey of 2,152 Indian consumers, postpaid users spend around five times the ARPU of prepaid users. These users typically favour steady revenue streams, predictable benefits, and loyalty-inducing engagement.
- Service and Relationship-Oriented Behavior: Postpaid customers display stronger orientations toward reliable service, personalized attention, and bundled offerings. Variables like perceived quality, responsiveness, and support are more pivotal predictors of loyalty in this segment.
- Inherent Friction in Switching: Postpaid deserts involve moderate procedural switching barriers. Operators often enact retention tactics through retention teams or contract nuances to discourage conversion to prepaid, as highlighted by profiled Reddit user experiences detailing repeated retention interventions.
Retention Strategies in Global Telecom
A wealth of international research emphasizes diverse, segment-driven retention strategies that leverage loyalty programs, tailored offers, bundling, and advanced predictive analytics to reduce churn.
Loyalty Programs, Bundling & Service Quality
- Chen & Hitt (2002) explored how loyalty incentives, personalized offerings, service bundling, and network quality interact with customer engagement. They argued that the effectiveness of these strategies differs by customer segments and usage intensity, advocating for segmentation-based retention design rather than one-size-fits-all solutions.
- Later work expanded on the importance of quality of service and structured loyalty benefits in driving long-term retention. Studies such as those by Gremler & Brown (1996) reinforce the role of emotional and relational bonds what has been termed “commercial friendship” in fostering loyalty in service-centric industries like telecom
Predictive Modeling & Machine Learning-Based Retention
- Ahmad et al. (2019) built a churn prediction model for SyriaTel using big-data analytics and machine learning on call detail records. By integrating Social Network Analysis (SNA) features with traditional usage patterns, their model’s AUC improved from approximately 84% to 93.3%, demonstrating the value of relational data in retention efforts .
- Similar work by auxiliary teams using AutoML frameworks confirmed that enriched SNA attributes such as degree centrality and clustering metrics significantly boost predictive accuracy over stand-alone behavioral models, particularly in prepaid churn contexts .
- Recent ensemble and deep-learning approaches also yield strong results. For example, Agar, Khan et al. (2019) applied transfer-learning and meta-classification on standard telecom datasets and achieved AUCs in the 0.74–0.83 range, showcasing that deep architectures can enhance churn prediction across varied data structures
Peer Influence and Network Effects
- Miguel Godinho de Matos (2014) This study analyzes how peer influence affects the adoption of the iPhone 3G using data from a major European mobile carrier. By examining tightly-knit user communities and applying instrumental variables to control for confounding factors, the research finds that a subscriber's likelihood of adopting the iPhone 3G increases as more of their friends adopt it. Over an 11-month period, peer influence accounted for approximately 14% of all iPhone 3G sales by the carrier. This finding holds even after adjusting for factors like social clustering, gender, prior mobile internet usage, smartphone ownership, and user mobility. The study also concludes that traditional marketing strategies would have been less effective than leveraging peer influence through viral marketing.
- A broader benchmark study covering eight telecom datasets across different geographies highlighted that network structure, edge definitions, and the inclusion of relational indicators significantly impact churn prediction accuracy. In many cases, non-relational models enriched with SNA features outperformed purely network-based approaches
Table 1: Global Telecom Retention Strategy Matrix
Strategy Type |
Approach |
Observed Benefit |
Loyalty & Bundling |
Tiered rewards, personalized bundles, quality service |
Higher retention when matched to behavior segment |
Predictive Analytics & AI |
ML models leveraging behavioral + network data |
Improved early detection of churn (AUC ~93%) |
Peer Influence Mitigation |
Monitoring social clusters, preventing group churn |
Reduced cascading churn events |
Hybrid Modeling (AutoML/Deep AI) |
Deep learning with ensemble/meta-classification |
Better handling of high-dimensional telecom data structures |
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
This study adopts a theoretical and descriptive research design aimed at analyzing and comparing customer retention strategies employed for prepaid and postpaid subscribers in India’s telecom industry. The research is qualitative in nature and relies exclusively on secondary data sources.
Data has been collected from a wide range of credible and authoritative materials, including:
Peer-reviewed academic journals in the fields of marketing, consumer behavior, and telecommunications.
Reports published by the Telecom Regulatory Authority of India (TRAI), which provide regulatory updates, market trends, and customer statistics.
Industry white papers and consultancy reports from leading firms such as Deloitte, KPMG, and EY.
Market research databases, online telecom publications, and annual reports of major telecom operators such as Jio, Airtel, Vodafone Idea, BSNL, MTNL.
A comparative analytical framework is employed to systematically examine and contrast the retention strategies used for prepaid and postpaid customer segments. Key variables under consideration include customer profile, pricing models, loyalty mechanisms, customer service approaches, and churn prevention tactics.
The methodology enables a conceptual understanding of how retention strategies differ based on customer type and offers strategic insights for telecom providers seeking to enhance customer loyalty and reduce churn in a highly competitive market environment.
THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK FOR COMPARISON
Table 2: Comparative Dimensions of Customer Retention in Prepaid vs. Postpaid Segments
Dimension |
Prepaid Segment |
Postpaid Segment |
Customer Profile |
Price-sensitive, low ARPU, less loyal |
High ARPU, brand loyal, business or premium users |
Churn Drivers |
Price, recharge frequency, lack of network quality |
Billing disputes, poor customer service, network |
Retention Objectives |
Volume retention, recharge frequency |
Long-term loyalty, upselling, ARPU growth |
Pricing Strategy |
Discounts, cashback offers, data packs |
Bundled plans, subscription-based services |
Loyalty Programs |
Points on recharge, app-based rewards |
Exclusive offers, tier-based rewards, concierge |
Customer Engagement |
SMS, app notifications, promotional calls |
Personalized account managers, proactive support |
Switching Barriers |
Low: SIM portability easy |
Moderate: Contracts, number retention |
Technology Use |
USSD, recharge kiosks, mobile apps |
CRMs, real-time analytics, mobile billing |
KEY RETENTION TECHNIQUES
Prepaid Retention Techniques
- Frequent Low Cost Offers: Indian telecom firms frequently roll out low-cost promotional offers like cashback on recharges, data add ons, night packs, and surprise bonus data on small-value recharges to boost engagement among prepaid users. Such strategies aim to maintain frequent touchpoints and discourage churn by providing immediate tangible value. For example, Airtel’s promotional bundles and discounts through its prepaid plans have been key to retaining price sensitive customers.
- Gamification and Rewards: Prepaid retention leverages gamified rewards within mobile apps. Platforms like Airtel Thanks and MyJio offer scratch cards, points, spins, or coupons post recharge. These tactics tap into behavioral psychology by offering instant gratification and frequent interaction, which boosts loyalty and recharge frequency.
- Data Analytics for Micro Segmentation: Operators employ advanced analytics and segmentation to tailor offers and predict churn. Airtel’s CRM and lifecycle tools allow the delivery of personalized campaigns based on behavioral triggers such as near-expiry data packs, recharge frequency, or usage patterns to preemptively retain customers.
- Digital Wallet Integration: Seamless recharge via mobile apps, UPI, and digital wallet integration reduces friction for prepaid users. This convenience increases the likelihood of timely recharges and limits opportunities for churn due to missed recharges or manual processes. The digital-first recharge ecosystem fosters habitual interactions and convenience-based loyalty.
Postpaid Retention Techniques
- Bundling and Subscriptions: Postpaid subscribers are more receptive to bundled offers that combine voice, data, and value added services. Airtel's Infinity Family Plan which allows multiple lines under one account has proven effective in increasing ARPU and stickiness, with reportedly 65–70% of users on family-oriented plans. Additionally, bundling OTT services like Netflix, Amazon Prime, Google One (100 GB for six months), and Perplexity Pro (12 month AI subscription) enhances loyalty by offering differentiated value beyond telecom alone.
- Customer Service Excellence: Postpaid customers receive elevated support via dedicated helplines, fast-track grievance resolution, and premium service assurances. Airtel’s CLM (Customer Lifecycle Management) and digital support ecosystems including app, WhatsApp, email, and social channels facilitate seamless user experience and enhance customer satisfaction, thereby reducing churn.
- Contractual Lock Ins: Although less common than in other markets, some Indian postpaid plans embed mild contractual commitments or early termination charges. These create moderate switching barriers. Additionally, retention teams often intervene actively during switching attempts, as evidenced by user reports citing delayed conversions from postpaid to prepaid or attempts to retain customers via retention calls.
- Usage Based Personalization: Postpaid plans are tailored based on individual or family usage patterns considering data usage, call habits, location/travel behavior, and international roaming needs. Airtel’s contextual targeting and data analytics enable upselling of data add-ons, roaming packs, or plan upgrades at timely moments often when customers approach usage thresholds, thereby increasing ARPU and satisfaction
Table 3: Prepaid vs. Postpaid Customer Retention Tactics and Key Objectives
Segment |
Retention Technique |
Key Focus |
Prepaid |
Frequent low-cost offers |
Immediate value, price sensitivity |
Gamification & rewards |
Engagement, recharge frequency |
|
Data-driven micro-segmentation |
Personalized offers, early churn detection |
|
Digital wallet & app integration |
Convenience, frictionless recharges |
|
Postpaid |
Bundling & OTT subscriptions |
Added services beyond telecom, higher value perception |
Premium customer service |
Dedicated support, faster escalation channels |
|
Mild contractual retention |
Delays or charges during porting to discourage exits |
|
Usage-based personalization |
Personalized plan offers and add-ons based on user behavior |
Case Examples & Insights
- Airtel’s Prepaid Gamification & Offers: Campaigns involving scratch cards and recharge-based rewards through Airtel Thanks provide behavioral reinforcement and frequent touchpoints, encouraging habit-forming interactions.
- Airtel’s Postpaid Bundles & Partnerships: Airtel’s partnership with Google (offering free 100 GB Google One storage) and Perplexity (Perplexity Pro AI subscription) adds significant perceived value for postpaid subscribers, beyond basic telecom services
- Customer Experience & Churn Reduction: Airtel’s investment in digital tools and customer lifecycle automation reduced mobile churn from ~2.9% to 2.4% in Q4 FY24, showcasing how service excellence directly impacts retention.
- Retention Tactics in Practice: Reddit users report that Airtel’s retention team actively intervenes when users try to port out from postpaid to prepaid delaying conversions and influencing decisions through offers or resistance, illustrating real-world application of retention efforts.
COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS AND DISCUSSION
This section draws upon empirical studies, industry research, and academic findings to contrast retention strategies for prepaid and postpaid customers in India’s telecom sector.
Transactional vs. Relational Retention
- Prepaid Segment (Transactional Focus): Prepaid retention strategies are heavily transactional centred on frequent engagement through discounts, promotions, and limited-time offers. A study by Rajeswari & Ravilochanan (2014) reported that while numerous promotional schemes are rolled out, churn in the prepaid segment remains alarmingly high, highlighting the limitations of purely transactional incentives.
- Postpaid Segment (Relational Focus): In contrast, retention in postpaid is built upon deeper relationships emphasizing personalized service, bundling, and loyalty. Gerpott et al. (2000) and related studies identified service quality, customer support, and switching barriers as major predictors of loyalty, emphasizing relational constructs over pure price-based retention.
Key Insights: Cost, Lifespan, and CLV
- Retention Cost: Retention of postpaid customers typically incurs higher costs due to investments in premium customer support, dedicated helplines, and bundled services. In comparison, prepaid retention is more cost-effective per customer but requires high volumes to sustain respective returns.
- Retention Lifespan: Empirical studies show that postpaid customers often stay with operators for longer durations, provided they remain satisfied owing to moderate contractual barriers and perceived higher switching costs. Conversely, prepaid subscribers frequently switch providers based on better price offers, as highlighted in churn analytics research.
- Customer Lifetime Value (CLV): Sood & Sharma (2021) examined 13 million prepaid subscriptions and found that digitally engaged users yield significantly higher CLV than unengaged users. Although the study focuses on prepaid customers, the takeaway that engagement boosts lifetime value applies equally to postpaid, where relationship-led retention further elevates CLV.
Technology Integration and Predictive Retention
- Analytics & AI in Retention: Both segments utilize predictive analytics for micro segmentation and personalized targeting. Prepaid users may receive prompts when nearing recharge expiry, whereas postpaid systems may offer custom plans or roaming packages based on behavior. The capability of real time charging systems allows operators to adjust offers dynamically by analyzing customer usage and context.
- Churn Prediction Models: Global churn prediction research demonstrates that advanced modelling including neural networks and social network analysis can forecast churn likelihood with high accuracy. While such methods support both segments, their integration in postpaid retention owing to higher per-user value is especially compelling.
Table 4: Key Differentiators in Prepaid and Postpaid Retention Approaches
Dimension |
Prepaid (Transactional) |
Postpaid (Relational) |
Primary Driver |
Price incentives, instant rewards |
Service quality, personalization, long-term value |
Cost per Retention |
Lower (high volume, low margin) |
Higher (premium service, bundling costs) |
Retention Duration |
Shorter; frequent switching observed |
Longer tenures if satisfaction maintained |
CLV Impact |
Moderate; uplift via engagement and digital adoption |
Higher; sustained relationship and upsell opportunities |
Tech Leverage |
Basic predictive offers based on recharge history |
Advanced analytics, real-time offers, churn prediction models |
Synthesis & Strategic Takeaways
- Transactional vs. Relational Dynamics: Prepaid retention focuses on frequent transactional rewards to fight price-sensitive churn. In contrast, postpaid retention is relational trust, personalized service, and perceived value relationships keep subscribers bonded for longer periods.
- Digital Engagement as a Bridge: Sood & Sharma’s study confirms that digital engagement substantially improves CLV even in the prepaid segment. This suggests that blending transactional incentives with relational touchpoints especially via personalized digital touchpoints and app experiences could enhance prepaid retention as well.
- Predictive, Personal, Proactive: Operators employing AI-driven churn prediction and personalized targeting especially for postpaid users tend to succeed more in building long-term loyalty. Machines can assess usage trends, detect churn risks, and proactively suggest customized plans or value-addons.
In the Indian telecom context, retention of prepaid customers demands high-volume engagement tactics, while postpaid strategies must invest in personalized, relationship-centric approaches. Both strategies benefit from sophisticated analytics, but given the higher lifetime value per subscriber, postpaid retention is inherently more lucrative. The ideal retention strategy lies in integrating the immediacy of prepaid tactics with the relational depth of postpaid methods, facilitated by digital engagement and predictive analytics across touchpoints.
CHALLENGES IN CUSTOMER RETENTION
Despite significant advances in technology and service innovation, retaining customers in India’s highly competitive telecom market remains a critical challenge. While both prepaid and postpaid segments face distinct issues, some overarching industry factors also contribute to fluctuating loyalty and increasing churn. This section elaborates on the key challenges affecting retention strategies across both segments.
1. High Churn Rate in Prepaid Segment
India’s prepaid market, which accounts for over 90% of total telecom subscriptions, experiences a notoriously high churn rate. This is primarily due to low switching costs and high price sensitivity, which encourage frequent changes in operators based on temporary offers or better deals.
Moreover, the introduction of Mobile Number Portability (MNP) in India in 2011 significantly lowered the barrier for switching between service providers. According to the Telecom Regulatory Authority of India (TRAI), as of March 2024, over 800 million porting requests have been made since MNP's inception, with a large majority from prepaid users (TRAI MNP Report, 2024).
Prepaid users tend to prioritize immediate benefits over brand loyalty. Studies such as “Churn Analytics on Indian Prepaid Mobile Services” (Rajeswari & Ravilochanan, 2014) emphasize that promotional fatigue, combined with ease of porting, continues to undermine retention in this segment.
2. Impact of Price Wars and Market Disruption
The Indian telecom sector has undergone a major pricing disruption since the entry of Reliance Jio in 2016. Offering free voice services and ultra-low data prices, Jio reshaped consumer expectations and pushed competitors like Bharti Airtel and Vodafone Idea into unsustainable pricing strategies to retain market share.
This intensified price competition resulted in:
· Compressed margins, making it harder to invest in customer retention.
· Erosion of brand differentiation, as most players were forced to offer similar benefits.
· A shift in consumer behaviour, wherein price replaced loyalty as the dominant retention factor.
As noted in a Deloitte (2022) report on India’s telecom outlook, ARPU (Average Revenue Per User) declined sharply between 2016 and 2019, hitting all-time lows, which strained operator finances and limited their capacity to invest in value-added retention initiatives (Deloitte India Telecom Sector Report).
3. Digital Illiteracy among Rural Prepaid Users
A significant portion of India’s prepaid user base resides in rural and semi-urban regions, where digital literacy and smartphone penetration remain relatively low. These users often:
· Use feature phones with limited internet access.
· Are unfamiliar with mobile applications, UPI systems, or digital wallets.
· Lack awareness of app-based reward programs, offers, or loyalty benefits.
As a result, many of the tech-driven retention strategies like gamified apps, loyalty points, and push notifications fail to reach or engage this audience effectively.
A study by the Internet and Mobile Association of India (IAMAI) in 2023 estimated that nearly 400 million Indians remain digitally semi-literate, with the majority from non-metro areas.
Unless telecom companies simplify digital engagement and create offline-accessible retention mechanisms, they risk losing loyalty from a vast and underserved segment.
4. Over-Reliance on Bundles in Postpaid Segment
In the postpaid market, operators increasingly offer bundled services that include OTT subscriptions (like Netflix, Amazon Prime, Disney+ Hotstar), cloud storage (Google One), international roaming packs, and family-sharing plans. While such bundles increase perceived value initially, over-reliance on these offerings can lead to diminishing returns.
Common risks include:
· Customer fatigue when the same bundles are not refreshed or personalized.
· Under-utilization of bundled services, reducing perceived value.
· Saturation of OTT subscriptions many users already access the same services via other platforms.
· Low differentiation when all operators offer similar bundles.
Airtel, for instance, has introduced OTT services with most of its postpaid and even some prepaid plans. However, studies show that retention through bundling alone plateaus over time, and customers begin to expect more personalized or experiential benefits (EY Telecom Trends Report, 2023).
Furthermore, bundling without usage analysis can lead to value misalignment, especially when customers feel they are paying for unused features—leading to dissatisfaction and potential churn.
Table 5: Summary of Key Challenges
Challenge |
Affected Segment |
Impact |
High Churn via MNP |
Prepaid |
Undermines loyalty; users switch based on temporary deals |
Price War and Disruption |
Both |
Erodes brand loyalty and margins, limits retention budgets |
Digital Illiteracy in Rural Segments |
Prepaid |
Reduces reach of digital retention strategies like app rewards |
Over-Reliance on Bundled Benefits |
Postpaid |
Causes engagement fatigue; services underused or perceived as repetitive |
Strategic Implications
To overcome these challenges, telecom operators must:
· Develop offline-friendly retention models for digitally underserved populations.
· Invest in personalized value over standardized bundling.
· Build non-price-based differentiators such as quality of service, customer support, and network reliability.
· Utilize AI/ML-powered churn prediction to identify risk signals early, particularly in high-value postpaid segments.
STRATEGIC RECOMMENDATIONS
Effective customer retention in India's telecom sector requires moving beyond short-term price-driven tactics to long-term relationship management. The following strategic recommendations are aimed at telecom operators seeking to balance profitability with sustainable loyalty in both prepaid and postpaid segments.
Unified Retention Platforms
A major gap in customer retention lies in siloed systems that treat prepaid and postpaid customers through entirely different operational channels. This results in disjointed communication, inconsistent customer experience, and missed cross-selling opportunities.
To address this, telecom operators should implement Unified Customer Relationship Management (CRM) platforms that:
· Centralize customer data from all segments.
· Enable 360-degree customer profiling, regardless of subscription type.
· Use differentiated logic within the same platform for prepaid (volume-driven) and postpaid (value-driven) strategies.
For instance, Airtel’s ‘Airtel IQ’ platform aims to unify customer experience and communications across voice, messaging, video, and cloud by leveraging cloud-native architecture (Airtel Business, 2023).
This unified approach enhances retention by enabling contextual engagement, data-backed decisions, and agile marketing deployment tailored to individual customer journeys.
Hyper-Personalization through AI/ML
In today’s digital ecosystem, one-size-fits-all retention campaigns are obsolete. Hyper-personalization driven by Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning (ML) is now essential for creating meaningful customer interactions.
Telecom operators can use AI/ML for:
· Dynamic Pricing Models: Real-time adjustments based on usage patterns, competitive offers, and user preferences.
· Customized Plan Recommendations: Tailored recharge plans or upgrades based on historical behavior and regional trends.
· Churn Prediction Algorithms: Identifying early signals of disinterest (e.g., drop in data usage, app inactivity) to trigger preventive retention actions.
A study by McKinsey & Company (2022) highlights that telecom companies using predictive analytics have reduced churn by 15–30% and improved ARPU by up to 10% (McKinsey Telecom Insights).
The key is micro-segmentation and behavioural modelling, where every customer touchpoint is optimized through real-time insights.
Customer Education Initiatives
A significant number of prepaid users, especially in Tier 2 and rural areas, remain unaware of the full benefits of app-based rewards, loyalty points, and self-care tools. This limits the effectiveness of many digital retention strategies.
To increase digital engagement and platform loyalty, telecom operators should:
· Conduct regional language tutorials through SMS and IVR for app usage, recharges, and offers.
· Organize on-ground campaigns in semi-urban regions to promote app downloads and educate users about benefits.
· Leverage WhatsApp Business API, missed call alerts, and offline kiosks to teach users about UPI, mobile wallets, and digital rewards.
According to the IAMAI-Kantar report (2023), increasing digital literacy by just 10% can result in a 7% boost in loyalty program participation in rural telecom segments (IAMAI 2023 Report).
Customer education should not be a one-time initiative but an ongoing effort, particularly for prepaid customers whose loyalty is influenced by convenience and simplicity.
Real-Time Feedback Loops
A major differentiator in long-term customer retention is the establishment of real-time, actionable feedback mechanisms. While most operators offer complaint portals, only a few close the feedback loop with tailored follow-ups or service adjustments.
Implementing AI-powered customer sentiment analysis and integrating feedback into service design can substantially enhance retention outcomes.
Best practices include:
- Proactive Customer Support: Triggering support calls or push messages when a negative review is detected.
- Grievance Auto-Resolution: Using chatbots and AI to solve common issues like failed recharges, billing disputes, or plan confusion instantly.
- Feedback-Based Rewarding: Offering free add-ons or discounts in exchange for survey participation or constructive complaints.
According to a study by Capgemini Research Institute (2022), 73% of customers who had their issues resolved quickly and empathetically were more likely to stay loyal even if the initial problem was severe (Capgemini Customer Experience Report).
By institutionalizing real-time feedback loops, telecoms can turn complaints into loyalty moments and build trust even during service failures.
CONCLUSION
The Indian telecom sector, dominated by prepaid users, faces distinct retention challenges across its segments. Prepaid retention is transactional, relying on pricing offers, gamification, and digital engagement to minimize churn. In contrast, postpaid retention is relational, focusing on customer service, personalization, and bundled services, offering higher customer lifetime value (CLV). Global studies support segmentation-based retention strategies, with AI and predictive analytics enhancing churn prediction and customer targeting. However, issues like digital illiteracy, price wars, and overuse of bundling continue to affect retention effectiveness. To address these, telecom operators must implement unified CRM systems, hyper-personalized offers, and improved customer education. Real-time feedback mechanisms can further enhance user satisfaction. Ultimately, balancing cost-effective prepaid strategies with value-driven postpaid retention will be key to sustaining long-term customer loyalty in India’s competitive telecom market.