Some Contributions to the Theory of Incompletely Specified Models
The impact of preliminary tests on inferences in the Theory of Incompletely Specified Models
by Jyoti Mogra*, Dr. Anju Singh,
- Published in Journal of Advances in Science and Technology, E-ISSN: 2230-9659
Volume 2, Issue No. 2, Nov 2011, Pages 0 - 0 (3)
Published by: Ignited Minds Journals
ABSTRACT
This paper study of the situation is such that the solutions of the problem of Some Contributions to the Theory of Incompletely Specified Models are necessarily optimized by the same value of . Two sided tests of Specified Models are optimized by roughly the same value of that optimizes the estimation problem. However, tests of Specified Models need not have this property. It appears that recommendations for selecting the level of significance of the preliminary test depend upon the type of inferences on θ one is desirous of making. The problem to be analyzed here is that of using a preliminary test to determine whether a one parameter or a two parameter exponential distribution should be assumed as the Theory of Incompletely Specified Models for subsequent inferences and how this decision affects the properties of such inferences. It is a well-known fact that if one makes a test of theory using the same set of data used in performing some preliminary test, the power and size of that test are generally different from the power and size of a test made independently of any preliminary test for Specified Models.
KEYWORD
Theory of Incompletely Specified Models, optimization, two sided tests, estimation problem, level of significance, preliminary test, one parameter exponential distribution, two parameter exponential distribution, inferences
INTRODUCTION
Some Contributions to the Theory of the Extensive interest and effort has been given to the subject area of Incompletely Specified Models. Any approach thought to be useful in the determination of Specified Models of industrial equipments and mechanisms has received considerable attention and a great many studies have appeared in the various technical Specified Models (Galichon, Henry, 2008. Chernozhukov, et. al., 2007. Galichon, Henry, 2006. Khan, Tamer, 2006). These studies have in general dealt with parameter estimation under the assumption of some specific underlying Specified Models or with the testing of some statistical theory under the same general assumption. Certain methods and Some Contributions have become study of contention among the various practitioners. Proponents have arisen for several Some Contributions and each develops the methods of reliability estimation, acceptance sampling procedures and other hypothesis testing under the assumption of the advocated Contributions of Incompletely Specified Models (Maccheroni, et. al., 2006). In many instances, the situations of interest do not provide sufficient data to perform tests having even moderate levels of sensitivity to distinguish Some Contributions form of Incompletely Specified Models. Nor is there generally any a priori theoretical reasoning which singles out one specific Some Contributions from among several conceivably feasible ones. Some of the more frequently discussed continuous Some Contributions are: the exponential, the Weibull, the gamma, the log-normal and the extreme value Contributions for Specified Models. Under special conditions it can be shown that the exponential Some Contributions is a Specified Models of the Weibull, the gamma, and the extreme value of Some Contributions (Sarhan, 2005). Another way of stating this fact is to say that under a set of special conditions the exponential, the Weibull, the gamma, and the extreme value Some Contributions are equivalent for Specified Models. The problem of determining the Some Contributions characteristics to be studied therefore becomes the problem of Incompletely Specified Models the Some Contributions assumptions to be adopted. There is much which needs to be done in the subject area of Contribution to the Theory of Incompletely Specified Models specification (Raj, 2007).
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REVIEW OF LITERATURE:
Literature providing background for this study is to be found in distinct subject matter areas. Since the problem concerns the use and effect of preliminary tests, the area of the Theory of Incompletely Specified Models preliminary tests of significance will be examined first. The second area of concern will be that of life testing with particular emphasis placed on the use of the exponential distribution. The first theoretical investigation involving preliminary tests of significance was that of Bancroft investigated the bias, variance and mean square error of a variance estimator obtained after performing a preliminary test of the equality of two variances.
With this estimator being dependent upon a preliminary test of significance on the estimator of β2 to decide whether or not to retain the variable x2
Asano (Chooichiro, 2005), (Bechhofer, 2008), (Bennett, 2004), (Bozivich, et. al., 2007). has recently studied the application of generalized procedures, including Hunts Berger’s (36) weighting procedure, to problems encountered in biometrical and pharmaceutical research. The preliminary tests considered by Asano seem to be much more concerned with a prescribed set of switching constants than with significance levels. A later study by Bancroft (10) studied the biases in estimation of variance due to the omission of several independent variables in the multiple regression equation analysis. Hosteller (11) studied the effect of using a preliminary test of significance to decide when to pool two sample means in estimating a population mean. Bennett (12) extended the studies of Hosteller and Kitagawa to situations where preliminary tests were performed for both homogeneity of variance and equality of means prior to estimating the mean or testing hypotheses about it. Paull (13) and Bechhofer (7) studied certain special situations in analysis of variance models using preliminary tests of significance to decide when to pool various error mean squares in order to increase the study of freedom in subsequent tests of significance. Bozivich, Bancroft and Hartley (9) extended the work of Paull and Bachhofer to cover all important degrees of freedom combinations occurring in the analyses of variance considered.
CONCLUSION:
The situation is such that the solutions of the problem of Some Contributions to the Theory of Incompletely Specified Models are necessarily. Also, that any point estimation of parameters following a preliminary test may be biased even though such estimation made independently of any preliminary test is unbiased. Comparisons will thus be made between using a preliminary test to specify the model to be used for inferences concerning θ (i.e., whether to assume a one or a two parameter model) and arbitrarily adopting a one or a two parameter distribution. In comparison of estimation procedures, the bias and the mean square error of the resulting estimators of θ will be computed and compared. In the study of tests of theories, the size and power of the overall testing procedure will be compared with the size and power of the tests which do not involve preliminary testing for Specified Models. And the effect on subsequent inferences still remains to be solved.
REFERENCES:
Asano, Chooichiro (2005). Estimations after preliminary tests of significance and their applications to blometrical researches. Bulletin of Mathematical Statistics. Bancroft, T. A. (2007). Bias due to the omission of independent variables in ordinary multiple regression analysis. (Abstract) Annals of Mathematical Statistics. Bechhofer, R. E. (2008). The effect of preliminary test of significance on the size and power of certain tests of univariate linear hypotheses. Unpublished Ph.D. thesis. New York, N. Y. Library, Columbia University. Bennett, B. M. (2004). Estimation of means of the basis of preliminary tests of significance. Tokyo Institute of Statistical Mathematics Annals. 4:31-43. Bennett, B. M. (2006). Estimation of means of the basis of preliminary tests of significance. Tokyo Institute of Statistical Mathematics Annals. 4: pp. 31-43. Bozivich, H., Bancroft, T. A., and Hartley, H. 0. (2007). Power of analysis of variance test procedures for certain incompeltely specified models. I. Annals of Mathematical Statistics. Chernozhukov, V., Hong, H., Tamer, E. (2007). Estimation and confidence regions for parameter sets in
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econometric models. Econometrica 75, pp. 1243–1285. Galichon, A., Henry, M. (2006). Dilation bootstrap: a methodology for constructing confidence regions with partially identified models (2006, unpublished manuscript). Available from ssrn.com, id = 934442 Galichon, A., Henry, M. (2008). Inference in models with multiple equilibria (2008, unpublished manuscript). Available from ssrn.com, id = 1134762 Hosteller, F. (2005). On pooling data. American Statistical Association Journal. 43: pp. 231-242. Khan, S., Tamer, E. (2006). Inference on randomly censored regression models using conditional moment inequalities (2006, unpublished manuscript) Maccheroni, F., Marinacci, M., Rustichini, A. (2006). Ambiguity aversion, robustness and the variational representation of preferences. Econometrica 74, pp. 1447–1498 Paull, A. E. (2008). On a preliminary test for pooling mean squares in the analysis of variance. Annals of Mathematical Statistics. Raj, Des. (2007). Estimation of the parameters of type III populations from truncated samples. American Statistical Association Journal. 2007. Sarhan, A. E. (2005). Estimation of the mean and standard deviation by order statistics. III. Annals of Mathematical Statistics.
Corresponding Author Jyoti Mogra*
Research Scholar
E-Mail – jyotimeetu17@gmail.com